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Goetz, S., Jantz, C., Sun, M. 2011. Forecasting Future Land Use and Its Hydrologic Implications: A Case Study of the Upper Delaware River Watershed. Watershed Science Bulletin. Center for Watershed Protection, Ellicott City, MD. Volume 2, Number 2. Pages 18-26.
development, hydrology, Model, urban
Forecasts of future urban growth patterns were generated using the SLEUTH model for an area encompassing the Upper Delaware River watershed. These forecasts were incorporated into the SWAT hydrologic model to examine the implication of urbanization on hydrologic factors that are linked to water quality and aquatic biota management priorities for the watershed.